Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Garcia, Maikel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status IL-10
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.316 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.324 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.301
0.312
0.324
0.337
0.348
wOBA
0.285
0.302
0.320
0.338
0.354
ISO
0.102
0.115
0.130
0.145
0.158
K%
13.1%
14.2%
15.4%
16.6%
17.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
27
-17 vs proj
Exit velocity89.8
70
Hard-hit%42.4%
65
xBA0.327
57
xSLG0.449
28
xwOBA0.316
60
BB%8.6%
49
Bat speed70.2
58
K%15.5%
85
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
46
Arm Strength89.3 · 3B
73
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 3B
89
Range Runs4.3 · 3B
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.5 · 3B
55
SB Success Rate62.5% · 3B
16
Sprint Speed27.7 · 3B
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.3% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 32.0% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.267 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.321 · validated
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
202 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| Sample | 304 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 608 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.333 | 0.311 to 0.374 | +/- 0.031 |
| ISO | 0.148 | 0.111 to 0.229 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 2.3% to 6.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.6% | 41.6% to 53.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 14.7% | 12.7% to 21.1% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 6.3% to 11.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.275 to 0.348 | +/- 0.037 |
vs LHP
443 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 13.3% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
1467 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |