Mithrandir Metrics
NYY American League East Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

New York Yankees

94.7-67.3 with P10-P90 wins 85-104. 80.4 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
94.7-67.3
Live pace
91.1
Delta
-3.6
Record 54-42 Run diff 91 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason95.0
Current pace91.1
Rolling p5092.6
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
82.2 87.1 92.6 98.1 103.1
MOVE -2.4 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.25
October path

Projection odds

Division68.7%
Playoffs91.7%
Pennant33.4%
World Series19.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.01
Bullpen FIP4.25
Run diff140.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CWells, Austin4960.16
1BGoldschmidt, Paul5472.55
2BChisholm Jr.., Jazz5582.82
SSVolpe, Anthony600-0.32
3BMcMahon, Ryan5800.17
LFBellinger, Cody6150.42
CFGrisham, Trent5394.44
RFJudge, Aaron64327.66
DHRice, Ben5117.24