Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.64 |
| ERA current pace | 2.58 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.07 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 65.7% | 325 | 102 | qualified |
| CB | 34.3% | 170 | 105 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.60 |
| K% Δ | +0.005 |
| Sample | 71.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 40.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 167 | -- | -- |
| K% | 26.9% | 20.5% to 36.3% | +/- 7.9% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 4.5% to 12.6% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 26.9% | 21.7% to 33.4% | +/- 5.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.17 | 0.43 to 2.03 | +/- 0.80 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.292 | 0.236 to 0.346 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 4.4% to 14.5% | +/- 5.0% |
| ERA | 3.18 | 1.90 to 6.42 | +/- 2.26 |
| FIP | 3.23 | 2.05 to 7.02 | +/- 2.49 |
| WHIP | 1.168 | 0.954 to 1.571 | +/- 0.308 |
| xwOBA | 0.281 |
| K% | 25.8% |
| BB% | 9.2% |
| Barrel | 10.8% |
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 28.1% |
| BB% | 6.4% |
| Barrel | 9.5% |
