Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Caballero, José
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.280 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.270 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 59% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
José Caballero's tools (77) outpace production (79) by -2 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Field-coordinate spray profile
155 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 315 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 449 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.286 | 0.251 to 0.326 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.109 | 0.085 to 0.194 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% | 2.9% | 1.9% to 5.2% | +/- 1.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 29.4% | 22.7% to 36.8% | +/- 7.1% |
| K% | 27.2% | 22.3% to 33.0% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 5.7% to 11.7% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.255 to 0.357 | +/- 0.051 |
397 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.239 |
| K% | 23.2% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 3.5% |
816 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 21.3% |
| BB% | 6.7% |
| Barrel | 2.3% |