Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / NYY · 2026

Schlittler, Cam

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.7% K%
Range
20.4% to 31.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team NYY Archetype Balanced starter Age 25 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
92
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
77
Arsenal6 metrics
78
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.96
ERA current pace2.05
ERA rolling p502.68
Observed weight67%
ERA
1.58 2.10 2.68 3.26 3.79
FIP
2.48 2.82 3.19 3.57 3.91
K%
24.7% 25.9% 27.2% 28.5% 29.7%
BB%
5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 6.9% 7.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.94
94
ERA2.05
95
BB%5.4%
93 +36 vs proj
K%28.6%
86 +34 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.270
89 +41 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.0%
45
Fastball velo97.7
93
Hard-hit allowed39.5%
47
Whiff%23.6%
55 +22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Cutter Stuff+106
87
Fastball Stuff+109
90
Mithrandir Stuff+110
97
Sinker Stuff+106
84
Curveball Stuff+105
91
Slider Stuff+97
19
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Schlittler, Cam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.270 2026-07-05: 0.2772026-07-06: 0.2772026-07-07: 0.2772026-07-08: 0.2672026-07-09: 0.2672026-07-10: 0.2672026-07-11: 0.2672026-07-12: 0.2672026-07-13: 0.2702026-07-14: 0.2702026-07-15: 0.2702026-07-16: 0.270 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Schlittler, Cam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schlittler, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.4%Cutter: 27.0%Sinker: 19.6%Curveball: 7.3%Slider: 1.7%Pitch Out: 0.1% FF44% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 44%FC 27%SI 20%CU 7%SL 2%PO 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schlittler, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 44% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 97.8 mphFF98 mphCutter: 27% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.5 mphFC95 mphSinker: 20% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 97.6 mphSI98 mphCurveball: 7% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 48″ drop, 85.0 mphCU85 mphSlider: 2% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.3 mphSL89 mphPitch Out: 0% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 96.5 mphPO96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 43.8% 534 109 qualified
FC 28.2% 344 106 qualified
SI 18.6% 226 106 qualified
CB 7.3% 89 105 limited sample
SL 2.1% 25 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 54%, Cutter 19%, Curveball 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-2.10
K% Δ+0.059
Sample122.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings142.3----
Batters Faced601----
K%22.7%20.4% to 31.1%+/- 5.4%
BB%8.2%6.1% to 10.9%+/- 2.4%
Whiff%20.9%17.5% to 26.0%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.250.60 to 1.83+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3160.286 to 0.338+/- 0.026
Barrel% Allowed7.6%4.6% to 10.5%+/- 2.9%
ERA4.152.17 to 5.14+/- 1.48
FIP3.772.48 to 4.39+/- 0.96
WHIP1.2140.966 to 1.496+/- 0.265
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

223 career BF

xwOBA0.258
K%22.1%
BB%8.4%
Barrel5.4%
vs RHH

173 career BF

xwOBA0.261
K%21.1%
BB%6.2%
Barrel6.6%