Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Volpe, Anthony
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYY
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.296 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.288
0.305
0.321
0.336
wOBA
0.267
0.290
0.315
0.339
0.362
ISO
0.086
0.102
0.120
0.138
0.154
K%
20.5%
22.1%
23.9%
25.7%
27.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
16
-34 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
35
Hard-hit%33.3%
25
-38 vs proj
xBA0.316
43
xSLG0.428
22
xwOBA0.296
39
BB%12.6%
87
+47 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%22.6%
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.1 · SS
24
Outs Above Avg6.0 · SS
93
Range Runs4.5 · SS
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · SS
32
SB Success Rate60.0% · SS
11
Sprint Speed28.5 · SS
81
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.0% · rebadged research
88
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions71.3% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
31
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
91
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
52 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| Sample | 159 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 600 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.306 | 0.277 to 0.360 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.156 | 0.122 to 0.232 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 3.6% to 8.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.9% | 37.3% to 49.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 24.5% | 20.0% to 29.9% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.5% to 11.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.246 to 0.334 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
548 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 20.6% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
vs RHP
1507 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.259 |
| K% | 22.0% |
| BB% | 6.4% |
| Barrel | 4.9% |