Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Volpe, Anthony
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYY
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.306 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.310 |
| Observed weight | 19% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.290
0.310
0.330
0.347
wOBA
0.275
0.315
0.360
0.405
0.445
ISO
0.101
0.123
0.147
0.171
0.193
K%
20.3%
22.3%
24.5%
26.7%
28.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%17.3%
98
+59 vs proj
Barrel%1.9%
13
-37 vs proj
Bat speed68.3
31
Exit velocity87.5
38
Hard-hit%33.3%
24
-35 vs proj
K%23.1%
42
xBA0.293
24
xSLG0.426
22
xwOBA0.306
46
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
71
Range Runs1.0 · SS
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · SS
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.4% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions71.8% · rebadged research
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
43
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
23
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
| Sample | 52 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 600 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.306 | 0.277 to 0.360 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.156 | 0.122 to 0.232 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 3.6% to 8.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.9% | 37.3% to 49.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 24.5% | 20.0% to 29.9% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.5% to 11.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.246 to 0.334 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
548 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 20.6% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
vs RHP
1507 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.259 |
| K% | 22.0% |
| BB% | 6.4% |
| Barrel | 4.9% |