Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.87 |
| ERA current pace | 3.14 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.47 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 29.4% | 263 | 105 | qualified |
| SL | 28.5% | 255 | 105 | qualified |
| CH | 23.1% | 207 | 102 | qualified |
| SI | 19.1% | 171 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.98 |
| K% Δ | +0.069 |
| Sample | 70.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 294 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.4% | 17.0% to 29.8% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.4% to 10.3% | +/- 2.4% |
| Whiff% | 26.4% | 20.9% to 30.7% | +/- 4.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.28 | 1.05 to 2.40 | +/- 0.68 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.307 | 0.272 to 0.339 | +/- 0.034 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.1% | 6.1% to 11.9% | +/- 2.9% |
| ERA | 4.12 | 2.55 to 5.77 | +/- 1.61 |
| FIP | 4.11 | 2.96 to 5.16 | +/- 1.10 |
| WHIP | 1.291 | 0.990 to 1.564 | +/- 0.287 |
| xwOBA | 0.279 |
| K% | 21.6% |
| BB% | 7.3% |
| Barrel | 7.8% |
| xwOBA | 0.307 |
| K% | 19.0% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 9.0% |
