Mithrandir Metrics
HOU American League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Houston Astros

82.1-79.9 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.1-79.9
Live pace
71.7
Delta
-10.4
Record 27-34 Run diff -33 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace71.7
Rolling p5076.8
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
66.6 71.4 76.8 82.2 87.0
MOVE -5.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.35
October path

Projection odds

Division21.0%
Playoffs43.2%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.35
Run diff8.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CVázquez, Christian348-1.26
1BWalker, Christian5773.23
SSPeña, Jeremy5490.48
3BParedes, Isaac4931.53
LFLoperfido, Joey284-0.29
CFMeyers, Jake450-0.48
RFSmith, Cam4561.68
DHAllen, Nick431-2.11