Mithrandir Metrics
HOU American League West Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Houston Astros

82.1-79.9 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.1-79.9
Live pace
77.7
Delta
-4.5
Record 47-51 Run diff -47 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace77.7
Rolling p5079.3
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
69.6 74.2 79.3 84.5 89.1
MOVE -2.7 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.35
October path

Projection odds

Division21.0%
Playoffs43.2%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.35
Run diff8.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDiaz, Yainer5563.20
1BWalker, Christian5773.23
2BAltuve, Jose6070.21
SSPeña, Jeremy5490.48
3BParedes, Isaac4931.53
LFWade Jr.., LaMonte3741.04
CFTrammell, Taylor270-0.47
RFSmith, Cam4561.68
DHAllen, Nick431-2.11