King, Bryan
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.78 |
| ERA current pace | 3.04 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.53 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 59.5% | 248 | 98 | qualified |
| SL | 29.3% | 122 | 99 | limited sample |
| SI | 10.3% | 43 | 100 | limited sample |
| CH | 1.0% | 4 | 100 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -0.60 |
| K% Δ | -0.065 |
| Sample | 27.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 156 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.1% | 19.2% to 31.7% | +/- 6.3% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 3.3% to 10.9% | +/- 3.8% |
| Whiff% | 21.3% | 17.6% to 27.5% | +/- 4.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.17 | 0.65 to 2.04 | +/- 0.70 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.300 | 0.271 to 0.346 | +/- 0.037 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.1% | 2.9% to 10.0% | +/- 3.6% |
| ERA | 3.64 | 1.83 to 5.65 | +/- 1.91 |
| FIP | 3.62 | 3.10 to 5.07 | +/- 0.98 |
| WHIP | 1.237 | 0.996 to 1.617 | +/- 0.310 |
135 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.247 |
| K% | 23.8% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
276 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 22.4% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 5.4% |