The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alexander, Blaze in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats R · 258 PA

Ranked comps for Alexander, Blaze

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 403 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Walk rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 400 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Swing length -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA 0.53 Whiff rateBat speedStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zHard-hit rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.51 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactBat speed Oppo rate -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R · 426 PA 0.51 Strikeout rateSwing lengthAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.8zBarrel rate +1.0zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.50 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.4zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 382 PA 0.49 Whiff rateSprint speedBat speed Oppo rate -1.7zPull rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.49 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityChase rate Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.49 Whiff rateIsolated powerWalk rate Pull rate +1.7zOppo rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 374 PA 0.48 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.4zBat speed +1.8zBarrel rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 222 PA 0.47 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate Swing length -2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 294 PA 0.46 Bat speedBarrel rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.