Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Peraza, Oswald
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
45
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.289 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.283 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.251
0.267
0.285
0.303
0.319
wOBA
0.294
0.310
0.329
0.347
0.364
ISO
0.094
0.114
0.135
0.157
0.176
K%
24.9%
26.4%
28.1%
29.7%
31.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
46
+23 vs proj
Exit velocity86.0
27
Hard-hit%36.6%
39
xBA0.347
76
xSLG0.535
59
xwOBA0.283
26
BB%3.4%
6
-27 vs proj
Bat speed70.1
56
K%28.9%
19
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
64
Arm Strength88.9 · 2B
69
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
43
Range Runs0.6 · 2B
55
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · 2B
76
SB Success Rate83.3% · 2B
57
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
84
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.1% · rebadged research
29
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
85
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.311 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
19
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382 · validated
10
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
48
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
138 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.042 |
| Sample | 294 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 345 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.286 | 0.223 to 0.354 | +/- 0.066 |
| ISO | 0.110 | 0.021 to 0.200 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 3.0% | 1.4% to 6.4% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.5% | 27.8% to 46.9% | +/- 9.6% |
| K% | 26.3% | 23.3% to 34.8% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 5.1% to 10.3% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.273 | 0.191 to 0.347 | +/- 0.078 |
vs LHP
173 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.165 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
418 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.172 |
| K% | 18.0% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |