The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raleigh, Cal in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 297 PA

Ranked comps for Raleigh, Cal

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Gorman, Nolan STL · L · 242 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactWalk rateStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA 0.53 Swing lengthStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Isolated power +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 231 PA 0.49 Avg exit velocitySprint speedWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.45 Bat speedxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.7zSprint speed +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.45 Chase ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.0zSprint speed +1.9zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.44 Barrel rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Hard-hit rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.4zIsolated power +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.42 Barrel rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.3zGround-ball rate +1.6zBat speed -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 279 PA 0.40 xwOBA on contactSprint speedAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zBat speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 440 PA 0.40 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zSprint speed +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA 0.40 Avg exit velocitySprint speedIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -3.1zGround-ball rate +1.8zChase rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.37 Sweet-spot rateOppo rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.8zIsolated power +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA 0.35 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -2.1zMax exit velocity -1.9zWalk rate -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.