The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.
CWS · bats L · 405 PA
Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSwing length | Ground-ball rate +1.3zBat speed -1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA | 0.68 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactWalk rateBat speed | Chase rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA | 0.67 | Isolated powerIn-zone contactPull rate | Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.1zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocitySwing lengthBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA | 0.64 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Isolated power -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA | 0.61 | Walk rateSprint speedIn-zone contact | Bat speed -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityPull rate | Sprint speed +2.2zWhiff rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 260 PA | 0.54 | Strikeout rateOppo rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rateChase rate | Pull rate -1.9zSwing length -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 297 PA | 0.53 | Swing lengthStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Isolated power -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.5zHard-hit rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA | 0.53 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.