The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.
CWS · bats L · 656 PA
Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA | 0.72 | Barrel ratePull rateAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA | 0.69 | Swing lengthFly-ball rateSprint speed | Bat speed -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateWalk rateChase rate | Swing length -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedSweet-spot ratePull rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 537 PA | 0.61 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.6zBarrel rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 506 PA | 0.57 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Bat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA | 0.57 | In-zone contactChase rateSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zIsolated power -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 590 PA | 0.56 | Fly-ball rateWalk rateIn-zone contact | Isolated power +1.7zSwing length -1.4zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA | 0.54 | Pull rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zBat speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA | 0.51 | Chase rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Pull rate -1.8zOppo rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 629 PA | 0.51 | In-zone contactIsolated powerWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.50 | Walk rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.5zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.