The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wilson, Jacob in signal, the comp in amber.
ATH · bats R · 251 PA
Ranked comps for Wilson, Jacob
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 236 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | In-zone contact -1.4zBat speed +1.2zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA | 0.57 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateWalk rate | Chase rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.6zSwing length +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Arraez, Luis SF · L · 408 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactBat speedOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 304 PA | 0.47 | Pull rateOppo rateChase rate | Sprint speed +1.8zSwing length +1.8zStrikeout rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Vázquez, Christian HOU · R · 202 PA | 0.46 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.9zSwing length +1.2zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 307 PA | 0.43 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Swing length +2.5zPull rate +1.5zBat speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 239 PA | 0.42 | Barrel rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Bat speed +1.8zSwing length +1.8zChase rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 324 PA | 0.41 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateChase rate | Pull rate +1.9zSwing length +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Osuna, Alejandro TEX · L · 207 PA | 0.40 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Bat speed +2.6zSwing length +2.0zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 269 PA | 0.40 | Barrel ratePull ratexwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 415 PA | 0.39 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Chase rate -2.1zStrikeout rate +2.0zPull rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 438 PA | 0.38 | Barrel rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Swing length +2.9zChase rate -1.6zBat speed +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.