Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Nathan Church

LF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position LF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
xwOBA preseason0.272
xwOBA current pace0.297
xwOBA rolling p500.283
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.244 0.262 0.283 0.303 0.322
wOBA
0.289 0.310 0.335 0.359 0.381
ISO
0.070 0.094 0.121 0.147 0.172
K%
13.9% 16.8% 20.0% 23.2% 26.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.7%
12 -24 vs proj
Barrel%6.4%
69 +41 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
16
Exit velocity84.6
12
Hard-hit%32.3%
21
K%19.8%
63
xBA0.319
44
xSLG0.522
53
xwOBA0.297
38
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · LF
77
Arm Strength97.1 · LF
83
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
20
Range Runs-0.2 · LF
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · LF
72
SB Success Rate80.0% · LF
49
Sprint Speed28.5 · LF
83
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 51.6% · rebadged research
6
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8% · rebadged research
25
Correct Decisions59.6% · rebadged research
8
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
85
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.371 · insufficient sample
3
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
7
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Church, Nathan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3052026-05-21: 0.3002026-05-23: 0.2972026-05-24: 0.2972026-05-25: 0.2972026-05-26: 0.2972026-05-28: 0.2972026-05-29: 0.2972026-05-30: 0.2972026-05-31: 0.2972026-06-01: 0.2972026-06-02: 0.297 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Church, Nathan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 45%45%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height5' 10"
Weight180 lb
Debut2025-08-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.009
wOBA Δ+0.046

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.288 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K
2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K, SB
2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E3-4 | 2B, RBI, 2 R
2026-04-14 vs CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-0 | RBI
2026-04-13 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-2