The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Mangum, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 269 PA
Ranked comps for Mangum, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 304 PA | 0.57 | Pull ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Max exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.3zChase rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Simpson, Chandler TB · L · 373 PA | 0.40 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateWalk rate | Chase rate -2.5zIn-zone contact +2.1zWhiff rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 251 PA | 0.40 | Barrel ratePull ratexwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 236 PA | 0.38 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate -2.0zChase rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 324 PA | 0.33 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactBat speed | Ground-ball rate -2.2zPull rate +2.0zMax exit velocity +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 256 PA | 0.30 | Sprint speedOppo rateWhiff rate | Chase rate -2.5zFly-ball rate +2.3zMax exit velocity +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Osuna, Alejandro TEX · L · 207 PA | 0.27 | Barrel rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -2.5zGround-ball rate -2.0zBat speed +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA | 0.25 | Strikeout rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Chase rate -2.3zSwing length +2.0zMax exit velocity +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 239 PA | 0.25 | Oppo rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -2.7zSweet-spot rate +2.1zAvg exit velocity +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 270 PA | 0.25 | In-zone contactWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -2.2zGround-ball rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA | 0.23 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateIsolated power | Chase rate -2.8zIn-zone contact +2.0zMax exit velocity +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Caballero, José NYY · R · 315 PA | 0.22 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWalk rate | Pull rate +2.9zOppo rate -2.8zGround-ball rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.