The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Frelick, Sal in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 331 PA
Ranked comps for Frelick, Sal
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 339 PA | 0.78 | Bat speedMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Isolated power +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9zChase rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 219 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerFly-ball ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 359 PA | 0.61 | Avg exit velocityWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.2zIsolated power +1.2zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA | 0.61 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthWalk rate | Sprint speed -1.2zBat speed +1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 250 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Chase rate +2.4zSwing length +0.9zPull rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 363 PA | 0.57 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zSwing length +1.5zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 267 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerPull ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +2.2zFly-ball rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA | 0.55 | Avg exit velocityBat speedGround-ball rate | Oppo rate +2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 233 PA | 0.53 | Chase rateBarrel ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zWhiff rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 220 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.8zBat speed +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 229 PA | 0.53 | Chase rateBarrel rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate +2.0zWhiff rate +2.0zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 438 PA | 0.52 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.5zGround-ball rate -1.6zPull rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.