The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hoerner, Nico in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 438 PA

Ranked comps for Hoerner, Nico

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 307 PA 0.70 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.7zPull rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 375 PA 0.68 Bat speedWalk rateIsolated power Swing length -1.3zChase rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 363 PA 0.65 Chase rateBat speedHard-hit rate Pull rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 391 PA 0.65 Bat speedAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 219 PA 0.63 Bat speedIsolated powerWalk rate Pull rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 267 PA 0.62 Bat speedMax exit velocityIsolated power Swing length -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zPull rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Vierling, Matt DET · R · 281 PA 0.61 Sprint speedPull rateSwing length Strikeout rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Osuna, Alejandro TEX · L · 207 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateWalk rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 421 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratePull rate Swing length -2.1zChase rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA 0.53 Barrel rateChase rateWhiff rate Max exit velocity +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 331 PA 0.52 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -2.5zGround-ball rate +1.6zPull rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 238 PA 0.52 Bat speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate Oppo rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.