The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lukes, Nathan in signal, the comp in amber.

TOR · bats L · 236 PA

Ranked comps for Lukes, Nathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 324 PA 0.68 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 415 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityFly-ball rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.4zChase rate -1.2zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 251 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateIsolated power In-zone contact +1.4zBat speed -1.2zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.7zOppo rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 339 PA 0.61 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 304 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateWhiff rate Sprint speed +2.1zSwing length +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Friedl, TJ CIN · L · 229 PA 0.59 Bat speedSprint speedGround-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.4zChase rate -1.4zWhiff rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 307 PA 0.58 Barrel rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA 0.58 Whiff rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Swing length +1.9zBarrel rate +1.3zBat speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Osuna, Alejandro TEX · L · 207 PA 0.54 Barrel rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4zBat speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 238 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactSprint speedFly-ball rate Swing length +1.9zWalk rate +1.6zOppo rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA 0.52 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Swing length +2.4zSprint speed +1.4zWhiff rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.