The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Church, Nathan in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 480 PA

Ranked comps for Church, Nathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 513 PA 0.79 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate +0.9zBat speed -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA 0.78 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateOppo rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.2zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 McCarthy, Jake COL · L · 611 PA 0.65 Barrel rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.3zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityIsolated power Oppo rate -1.6zChase rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateSwing length Chase rate -2.4zAvg exit velocity +0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 490 PA 0.62 Walk rateSprint speedOppo rate Strikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA 0.62 In-zone contactFly-ball rateOppo rate Avg exit velocity +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityGround-ball ratePull rate Chase rate -1.8zOppo rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 634 PA 0.60 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Swing length +1.6zSprint speed -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerGround-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.6zChase rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 526 PA 0.58 Bat speedHard-hit rateWalk rate Sprint speed -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.