The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Church, Nathan in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 270 PA

Ranked comps for Church, Nathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 324 PA 0.75 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Barrel rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA 0.74 Swing lengthPull rateIn-zone contact Chase rate -1.0zBat speed +1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 390 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactWalk rateStrikeout rate Oppo rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.1zBarrel rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 McCarthy, Jake COL · L · 331 PA 0.68 Walk rateWhiff rateSwing length Chase rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 294 PA 0.67 Oppo rateMax exit velocitySprint speed Strikeout rate +1.4zSwing length +1.3zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 304 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -2.2zWalk rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Caballero, José NYY · R · 315 PA 0.61 Walk rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Pull rate +1.6zChase rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 373 PA 0.59 Oppo rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.8zPull rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Andujar, Miguel SD · R · 258 PA 0.59 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Swing length +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 261 PA 0.59 Chase rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate Isolated power +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.9zBarrel rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 304 PA 0.55 Max exit velocitySwing lengthOppo rate Chase rate -2.8zAvg exit velocity +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.