Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Caleb Durbin

3B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.312
xwOBA current pace0.266
xwOBA rolling p500.290
Observed weight48%
xwOBA
0.267 0.278 0.290 0.302 0.313
wOBA
0.257 0.277 0.298 0.320 0.339
ISO
0.088 0.105 0.124 0.142 0.159
K%
11.1% 12.3% 13.6% 14.9% 16.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.9%
19
Barrel%1.5%
9 -16 vs proj
Bat speed65.1
7
Exit velocity84.3
11
Hard-hit%29.7%
12
K%15.7%
85
xBA0.269
11
xSLG0.348
5
xwOBA0.266
15 -43 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.8 · 3B
26
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 3B
93
Range Runs1.9 · 3B
73
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 3B
69
SB Success Rate60.0% · 3B
14
Sprint Speed28.1 · 3B
72
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.9% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.5% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.261 · borderline
92
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.292 · validated
100
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Durbin, Caleb · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2582026-05-19: 0.2582026-05-21: 0.2592026-05-23: 0.2652026-05-24: 0.2652026-05-25: 0.2622026-05-26: 0.2622026-05-28: 0.2622026-05-29: 0.2622026-05-30: 0.2652026-05-31: 0.2622026-06-01: 0.266 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Durbin, Caleb · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 16%16%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 84%84%Hard hit: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Durbin, Caleb · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 27.7° Length 6.8 ft Ideal path 61% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Durbin, Caleb · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 9.1° Direction -3.1° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Durbin, Caleb · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 67.9 mph Hard swing rate 1% Whiff / swing 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height5' 6"
Weight183 lb
Debut2025-04-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.051
wOBA Δ-0.019

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-04-25Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.317 xwOBA | 12 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, BB, R
2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B
2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB
2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2B, K, RBI