Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
Giménez, Andrés
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TOR
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
14
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.264 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.258
0.269
0.281
0.294
0.305
wOBA
0.271
0.286
0.304
0.321
0.336
ISO
0.122
0.134
0.146
0.159
0.170
K%
16.3%
17.4%
18.7%
19.9%
21.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
19
Exit velocity85.0
17
Hard-hit%23.7%
6
xBA0.285
18
xSLG0.397
12
xwOBA0.264
13
-39 vs proj
BB%4.0%
8
Bat speed64.9
7
K%18.5%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · SS
24
Arm Strength92.4 · SS
86
Outs Above Avg10.0 · SS
99
Range Runs7.5 · SS
98
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · SS
61
Bolts1.0 · SS
15
SB Success Rate87.5% · SS
71
Sprint Speed27.6 · SS
55
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.7% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2% · rebadged research
76
Correct Decisions64.7% · rebadged research
35
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
24
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
90
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
62
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
89
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
181 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.045 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| Sample | 324 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 502 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.309 | 0.286 to 0.354 | +/- 0.034 |
| ISO | 0.133 | 0.113 to 0.206 | +/- 0.046 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 2.1% to 5.2% | +/- 1.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.1% | 27.5% to 37.6% | +/- 5.1% |
| K% | 18.1% | 15.2% to 23.8% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 4.1% to 8.4% | +/- 2.1% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.249 to 0.325 | +/- 0.038 |
vs LHP
742 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.247 |
| K% | 15.2% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |
vs RHP
2045 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.268 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |