Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
Giménez, Andrés
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TOR
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.255 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.256
0.268
0.281
0.295
0.307
wOBA
0.264
0.283
0.304
0.325
0.344
ISO
0.127
0.140
0.155
0.170
0.183
K%
15.1%
16.4%
17.8%
19.2%
20.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.6%
11
Barrel%3.2%
25
Bat speed65.3
8
Exit velocity85.0
15
Hard-hit%23.2%
5
K%16.7%
81
xBA0.263
9
xSLG0.374
9
xwOBA0.255
9
-42 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.4 · SS
85
Outs Above Avg5.0 · SS
96
Range Runs4.0 · SS
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · SS
17
Sprint Speed27.6 · SS
58
SB Success Rate75.0% · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.8% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions64.4% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
159 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.054 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.005 |
| Sample | 216 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 502 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.309 | 0.286 to 0.354 | +/- 0.034 |
| ISO | 0.133 | 0.113 to 0.206 | +/- 0.046 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 2.1% to 5.2% | +/- 1.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.1% | 27.5% to 37.6% | +/- 5.1% |
| K% | 18.1% | 15.2% to 23.8% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 4.1% to 8.4% | +/- 2.1% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.249 to 0.325 | +/- 0.038 |
vs LHP
742 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.247 |
| K% | 15.2% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |
vs RHP
2045 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.268 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |