The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Beavers, Dylan in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 368 PA

Ranked comps for Beavers, Dylan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 510 PA 0.84 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateWalk rate Swing length -1.1zPull rate -0.8zFly-ball rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 387 PA 0.75 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA 0.67 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2zSwing length -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.66 Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zBarrel rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactPull rate Ground-ball rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateChase rate Isolated power +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.63 Whiff rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Chase rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 487 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Sprint speed -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.3zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 658 PA 0.62 Barrel rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Swing length -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactPull rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.2zSwing length -1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA 0.61 Whiff rateBat speedIsolated power Chase rate +2.1zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 637 PA 0.60 Chase rateSwing lengthBarrel rate Sprint speed -1.9zStrikeout rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.