Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Young, Jacob
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.299 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.284
0.297
0.309
0.320
wOBA
0.280
0.296
0.314
0.332
0.348
ISO
0.099
0.113
0.128
0.143
0.156
K%
16.5%
17.7%
19.0%
20.3%
21.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
39
+28 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
48
Hard-hit%35.9%
34
+17 vs proj
xBA0.316
43
xSLG0.474
37
xwOBA0.299
42
BB%5.9%
20
Bat speed66.4
14
K%18.8%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · CF
38
Arm Strength94.2 · CF
62
Outs Above Avg12.0 · CF
99
Range Runs10.5 · CF
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.6 · CF
82
Bolts18.0 · CF
78
SB Success Rate83.3% · CF
57
Sprint Speed29.3 · CF
94
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.2% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.7% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.243 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.356 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
66
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
179 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| Sample | 304 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 447 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.268 to 0.331 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.086 | 0.044 to 0.161 | +/- 0.058 |
| Barrel% | 1.9% | 0.6% to 3.8% | +/- 1.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.0% | 27.9% to 40.3% | +/- 6.2% |
| K% | 18.4% | 15.2% to 24.0% | +/- 4.4% |
| BB% | 6.8% | 5.3% to 9.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.264 to 0.351 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
299 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.252 |
| K% | 14.0% |
| BB% | 6.5% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
751 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.231 |
| K% | 14.5% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |