Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
Monasterio, Andruw
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team BOS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
31
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.269
0.282
0.296
0.310
0.323
wOBA
0.278
0.293
0.309
0.326
0.340
ISO
0.104
0.117
0.131
0.145
0.158
K%
17.7%
18.9%
20.4%
21.8%
23.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
45
Exit velocity86.4
34
Hard-hit%30.9%
19
-15 vs proj
xBA0.294
22
xSLG0.451
32
xwOBA0.289
34
-17 vs proj
BB%7.3%
35
Bat speed67.6
26
K%19.3%
71
+28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · SS
85
Arm Strength84.6 · SS
26
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
19
Range Runs-11.0 · SS
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · SS
36
SB Success Rate50.0% · SS
4
Sprint Speed27.2 · SS
44
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.2% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions69.4% · rebadged research
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Mithrandir Stuff+45
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · borderline
95
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
25
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349 · validated
71
Slider Stuff+47
0
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
179 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.007 |
| Sample | 358 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 294 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.302 | 0.250 to 0.350 | +/- 0.050 |
| ISO | 0.122 | 0.076 to 0.196 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 1.6% to 6.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.9% | 29.1% to 43.4% | +/- 7.2% |
| K% | 24.2% | 18.4% to 29.7% | +/- 5.6% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 4.8% to 11.0% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.316 | 0.254 to 0.366 | +/- 0.056 |
vs LHP
234 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 15.1% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
428 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.192 |
| K% | 16.2% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |