Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026

Monasterio, Andruw

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.302 xwOBA
Range
0.248 to 0.350
Live Δ
yes
Team BOS Archetype Balanced regular Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
48
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
43
Defense3 metrics
11
Speed2 metrics
32
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.308
xwOBA current pace0.298
xwOBA rolling p500.303
Observed weight45%
xwOBA
0.269 0.286 0.303 0.321 0.338
wOBA
0.279 0.300 0.323 0.347 0.368
ISO
0.110 0.128 0.147 0.166 0.184
K%
18.5% 20.1% 22.0% 23.9% 25.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
74 +38 vs proj
Exit velocity86.7
30
Hard-hit%37.4%
44
xBA0.316
44
xSLG0.518
53
xwOBA0.298
41
BB%6.0%
21 -22 vs proj
Bat speed67.5
24
K%21.9%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength80.6 · SS
9
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
18
Range Runs-5.6 · SS
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · SS
27
Sprint Speed26.9 · SS
37
SB Success Rate33.3% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.1% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1% · rebadged research
17
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
49
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Monasterio, Andruw · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.298 2026-07-06: 0.2772026-07-07: 0.2772026-07-08: 0.2772026-07-09: 0.2892026-07-10: 0.2902026-07-11: 0.2862026-07-12: 0.2862026-07-13: 0.2922026-07-14: 0.2982026-07-15: 0.2982026-07-16: 0.2982026-07-17: 0.298 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Andruw Monasterio's tools (83) outpace production (83) by 1 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Contact-Discipline Mismatch
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

98 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Monasterio, Andruw · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 48.02026-03-19 · single · SL · ground_ball2026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA -44.02026-03-21 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA -42.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -8.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 71.6 / LA 71.02026-03-22 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 22.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -24.02026-03-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 34.02026-03-23 · field out · ST · popup · EV 71.8 / LA 83.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 31.02026-03-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 15.02026-03-29 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 18.02026-03-29 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 30.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · popup · EV 73.5 / LA 60.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -4.02026-04-04 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -12.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 54.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 20.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 48.02026-04-13 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 17.02026-04-15 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 70.7 / LA 29.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 22.02026-04-15 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 14.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -8.02026-04-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -4.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -7.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 16.02026-04-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 4.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -3.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 61.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 22.02026-04-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -11.02026-04-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 29.02026-04-25 · field out · EP · fly_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 40.02026-04-25 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 28.02026-04-25 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 26.9 / LA -8.02026-04-25 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -19.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 62.0 / LA 48.02026-04-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 8.02026-04-26 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -3.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 93.6 / LA 67.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 9.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 9.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 48.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 26.2 / LA -32.02026-05-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 7.02026-05-04 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 63.7 / LA 47.02026-05-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 7.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 24.02026-05-05 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -8.02026-05-10 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 25.02026-05-10 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 29.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 8.02026-05-14 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 45.02026-05-14 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 19.02026-05-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 12.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 48.0 / LA -44.02026-05-15 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 21.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 50.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 7.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 64.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -3.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -12.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.6 / LA 62.02026-05-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.6 / LA -3.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 3.02026-05-17 · field out · SL · popup · EV 58.5 / LA 64.02026-05-18 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 71.6 / LA 28.02026-05-18 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 72.1 / LA 27.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.6 / LA 74.02026-05-19 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.2 / LA -5.02026-05-22 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -21.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 52.8 / LA 33.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 51.02026-06-04 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 23.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 91.5 / LA 61.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · popup · EV 94.7 / LA 67.02026-06-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 32.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -6.02026-06-07 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 42.8 / LA -30.02026-06-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 59.02026-06-18 · field out · SL · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 61.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 18.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 42.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 48.02026-06-24 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 40.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 29.02026-06-24 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 26.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 8.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA -42.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 0.02026-07-01 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 57.6 / LA 41.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -46.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Monasterio, Andruw · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 52%52%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 16%16%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 84%84%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.004
wOBA Δ+0.021
Sample183 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances294----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3020.248 to 0.350+/- 0.051
ISO0.1220.076 to 0.196+/- 0.060
Barrel%4.1%1.6% to 6.7%+/- 2.5%
Hard-Hit%34.9%29.0% to 43.4%+/- 7.2%
K%24.2%18.4% to 29.7%+/- 5.6%
BB%8.0%4.8% to 11.0%+/- 3.1%
BABIP0.3160.254 to 0.366+/- 0.056
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

234 career PA

xwOBA0.204
K%15.1%
BB%7.0%
Barrel2.4%
vs RHP

428 career PA

xwOBA0.192
K%16.2%
BB%5.1%
Barrel2.7%