Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Jacob Young

CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 192 lb · Age 26

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202452175120333.256.316.331.647
20253643475215.231.296.287.583
2026288346089.224.275.369.644
4 Seasons12941522821370.242.302.328.630
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
41
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
39
Defense4 metrics
74
Speed4 metrics
78
Plate skills10 metrics
41
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.293
xwOBA current pace0.299
xwOBA rolling p500.297
Observed weight58%
xwOBA
0.273 0.284 0.297 0.309 0.320
wOBA
0.280 0.296 0.314 0.332 0.348
ISO
0.099 0.113 0.128 0.143 0.156
K%
16.5% 17.7% 19.0% 20.3% 21.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
39 +28 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
48
Hard-hit%35.9%
34 +17 vs proj
xBA0.316
43
xSLG0.474
37
xwOBA0.299
42
BB%5.9%
20
Bat speed66.4
14
K%18.8%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · CF
38
Arm Strength94.2 · CF
62
Outs Above Avg12.0 · CF
99
Range Runs10.5 · CF
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.6 · CF
82
Bolts18.0 · CF
78
SB Success Rate83.3% · CF
57
Sprint Speed29.3 · CF
94
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.2% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.7% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.243 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.356 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
66
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Young, Jacob · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.299 2026-07-06: 0.2992026-07-07: 0.2992026-07-08: 0.2972026-07-09: 0.2982026-07-10: 0.2982026-07-11: 0.2982026-07-12: 0.2992026-07-13: 0.2992026-07-14: 0.2992026-07-15: 0.2992026-07-16: 0.2992026-07-17: 0.299 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

179 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Young, Jacob · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -1.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -18.02026-03-19 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -20.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -9.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 3.02026-03-22 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -13.02026-03-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -19.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -2.02026-03-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 25.02026-03-26 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -10.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 25.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 45.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 1.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 21.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 14.02026-03-29 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 62.6 / LA 24.02026-03-29 · double · FS · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA -7.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 22.02026-04-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 69.6 / LA 23.02026-04-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 77.9 / LA 17.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 29.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 1.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA -13.02026-04-04 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -16.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 99.0 / LA 69.02026-04-06 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 79.9 / LA 20.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 19.02026-04-07 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 38.1 / LA -4.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 27.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA -29.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 46.9 / LA -66.02026-04-08 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -5.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -7.02026-04-10 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 25.02026-04-11 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 6.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 9.02026-04-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 19.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -30.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.7 / LA -12.02026-04-12 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 20.02026-04-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 10.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 52.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -32.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -22.02026-04-13 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 32.02026-04-13 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 24.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 29.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 30.4 / LA 54.02026-04-16 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -17.02026-04-16 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA -17.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -15.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · popup · EV 28.3 / LA 84.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 41.02026-04-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -9.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 92.9 / LA 24.02026-04-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 12.02026-04-19 · single · KC · fly_ball · EV 69.1 / LA 31.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 42.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 88.4 / LA 21.02026-04-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.7 / LA 20.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -20.02026-04-20 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -31.02026-04-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 12.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 33.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · popup · EV 92.3 / LA 62.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -66.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -29.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 26.02026-04-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 7.02026-04-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA -63.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · popup · EV 72.9 / LA 63.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 0.02026-04-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 84.3 / LA -8.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 37.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 16.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 45.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 55.3 / LA 10.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 9.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 24.02026-04-26 · double · KC · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 3.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · popup · EV 74.2 / LA 70.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -6.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 65.2 / LA 43.02026-04-29 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 10.02026-04-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -10.02026-04-30 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA -28.02026-04-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 3.02026-05-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 78.1 / LA 11.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -47.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 42.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.7 / LA 12.02026-05-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 13.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.8 / LA -20.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 43.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -48.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.8 / LA -41.02026-05-06 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 0.02026-05-06 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 36.02026-05-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 1.02026-05-06 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 42.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · popup · EV 77.9 / LA 73.02026-05-07 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 12.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -5.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 67.6 / LA 38.02026-05-08 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 30.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -49.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -11.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 2.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · popup · EV 73.4 / LA 49.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 59.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 24.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 24.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 38.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -14.02026-05-12 · force out · SI · ground_ball2026-05-12 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 34.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 73.0 / LA 65.02026-05-13 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 39.02026-05-13 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 70.8 / LA 24.02026-05-13 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 18.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 38.02026-05-14 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 33.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 24.02026-05-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA 9.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 70.7 / LA 9.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 6.02026-05-15 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 51.0 / LA -67.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -33.02026-05-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 7.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 28.02026-05-16 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 27.02026-05-17 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 26.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.9 / LA 52.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 20.02026-05-20 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 18.02026-05-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 30.02026-05-21 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.1 / LA -18.02026-05-21 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA -16.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA -34.02026-05-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 13.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 44.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 31.02026-05-24 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 8.02026-05-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 3.02026-05-25 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -11.02026-05-25 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 28.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 5.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -1.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -7.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 79.5 / LA 28.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA 0.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 47.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 36.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 34.02026-05-31 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -10.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -23.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 45.02026-06-01 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 30.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 21.02026-06-07 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 56.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · popup · EV 82.8 / LA 84.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 3.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 47.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 14.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.5 / LA 11.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 38.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -61.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 59.02026-06-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 19.02026-06-26 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 20.02026-06-26 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA -18.02026-06-30 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 7.02026-07-01 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 28.02026-07-01 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 12.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Young, Jacob · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Young, Jacob · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 70.1 mph Hard swing rate 5% Whiff / swing 21% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height5' 11"
Weight192 lb
Debut2023-08-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.001
wOBA Δ+0.016

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.314
xwOBA (deserved)0.299

Young’s wOBA sits at 0.314, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.015, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 304 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Stott, Bryson PHI · L 0.76 Isolated powerGround-ball rate Player · Projection
Antonacci, Sam CWS · L 0.70 Pull rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection
Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R 0.70 Isolated powerOppo rate Player · Projection
Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R 0.69 Swing lengthPull rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-05-24Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.298 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs NYM1 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, 2B, K
2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, 2 RBI
2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-13 @ PIT1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI