Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 192 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-26 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Jacob Young
CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 192 lb · Age 27
Club Washington Nationals
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 521 | 75 | 120 | 3 | 33 | .256 | .316 | .331 | .647 |
| 2025 | 364 | 34 | 75 | 2 | 15 | .231 | .296 | .287 | .583 |
| 2026 | 467 | 57 | 105 | 10 | 18 | .252 | .318 | .391 | .709 |
| 4 Seasons | 1473 | 175 | 327 | 15 | 79 | .248 | .312 | .340 | .652 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
42
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.315 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 69% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.297
0.308
0.320
0.329
wOBA
0.309
0.322
0.336
0.351
0.364
ISO
0.105
0.116
0.128
0.140
0.151
K%
15.4%
16.3%
17.4%
18.5%
19.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
39
+29 vs proj
Exit velocity86.5
35
Hard-hit%31.8%
23
xBA0.317
49
xSLG0.473
41
xwOBA0.315
64
+19 vs proj
BB%7.4%
37
Bat speed66.5
17
K%16.5%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · CF
22
Arm Strength94.2 · CF
55
Outs Above Avg11.0 · CF
99
Range Runs9.9 · CF
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · CF
86
Bolts27.0 · CF
77
SB Success Rate87.5% · CF
72
Sprint Speed29.2 · CF
92
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.9% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.251 · borderline
98
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
32
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
79
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
260 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.017 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.038 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Young’s wOBA sits at 0.336, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.315 — a gap of 0.021, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 484 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loftin, Nick KC · R | 0.81 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Keaschall, Luke MIN · R | 0.78 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.76 | xwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-24 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 25 | 2026-09-25 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.618 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.298 xwOBA | 5 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM1 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2B, K |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |