Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 5" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2025-08-16 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Dylan Beavers
LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 5", 220 lb · Age 25
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 137 | 16 | 25 | 4 | 2 | .227 | .375 | .400 | .775 |
| 2026 | 363 | 41 | 74 | 9 | 5 | .228 | .307 | .373 | .680 |
| 2 Seasons | 500 | 57 | 99 | 13 | 7 | .228 | .325 | .380 | .705 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
50
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.295 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.261
0.277
0.295
0.313
0.329
wOBA
0.280
0.295
0.311
0.327
0.342
ISO
0.112
0.127
0.144
0.162
0.177
K%
22.6%
24.2%
25.9%
27.7%
29.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
55
Exit velocity87.6
47
Hard-hit%38.4%
51
+28 vs proj
xBA0.316
48
xSLG0.533
59
xwOBA0.295
42
BB%9.5%
63
-24 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
53
K%27.2%
27
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · LF
41
Arm Strength92.6 · LF
43
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
5
Range Runs-8.0 · LF
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · LF
42
Bolts5.0 · LF
46
SB Success Rate55.6% · LF
7
Sprint Speed29.1 · LF
91
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.2% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
85
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.326 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
168 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.010 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Beavers’s wOBA sits at 0.311, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.016, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 368 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| McLain, Matt CIN · R | 0.84 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Norby, Connor MIA · R | 0.75 | Barrel rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Thomas, Lane KC · R | 0.67 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Steer, Spencer CIN · R | 0.66 | Bat speedSwing length | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-01 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 24 | 2026-09-23 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.756 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2 BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, CS |
| 2026-04-13 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | R |