The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Paredes, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.
HOU · bats R · 393 PA
Ranked comps for Paredes, Isaac
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA | 0.67 | Strikeout rateOppo ratePull rate | Swing length -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 419 PA | 0.61 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Arenado, Nolan AZ · R · 361 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zSwing length +1.5zBat speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA | 0.59 | Pull rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate +1.5zSwing length -1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 338 PA | 0.58 | Swing lengthBat speedChase rate | Sprint speed +2.4zGround-ball rate +1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Albies, Ozzie ATL · L · 428 PA | 0.57 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.5zSwing length -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 442 PA | 0.53 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA | 0.52 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate +1.7zSprint speed +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.49 | Chase rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate +1.8zHard-hit rate +1.4zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 307 PA | 0.49 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Swing length -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 397 PA | 0.48 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Swing length -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 248 PA | 0.48 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactBat speed | Swing length -2.2zGround-ball rate +1.8zPull rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.