Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Nick Loftin

2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 180 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position 2B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024171152811.189.282.236.518
2025188173541.208.278.357.635
2026116142110.221.330.358.688
4 Seasons5435610464.220.302.330.632
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
28
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
38
Defense4 metrics
32
Speed2 metrics
74
Plate skills10 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
xwOBA preseason0.307
xwOBA current pace0.317
xwOBA rolling p500.311
Observed weight38%
xwOBA
0.274 0.292 0.311 0.331 0.348
wOBA
0.320 0.345 0.373 0.402 0.427
ISO
0.099 0.124 0.152 0.180 0.205
K%
10.7% 12.7% 14.9% 17.2% 19.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
29
Exit velocity86.5
28
Hard-hit%32.0%
20
xBA0.278
14
xSLG0.406
16
xwOBA0.317
59 +32 vs proj
BB%11.1%
74 +35 vs proj
Bat speed66.1
12
K%13.3%
90
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
15
Arm Strength88.2 · 2B
69
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
42
Range Runs-6.1 · 2B
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · 2B
74
Sprint Speed28.2 · 2B
75
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-06-15
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.0% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
32
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
92
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
83
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Loftin, Nick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.317 2026-06-04: 0.3132026-06-05: 0.3032026-06-06: 0.3032026-06-07: 0.3032026-06-08: 0.3122026-06-09: 0.3122026-06-10: 0.3122026-06-11: 0.3122026-06-12: 0.3152026-06-13: 0.3172026-06-14: 0.3172026-06-15: 0.317 2026-06-04 2026-06-15 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

78 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Loftin, Nick · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 6% of plotted batted ballsOppo 6% LF 330 CF 410 RF 330 2026-03-15 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 65.3 / LA 29.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 25.02026-03-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 40.02026-03-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 14.02026-03-19 · force out · pitch · ground_ball · EV 92.4 / LA -3.02026-03-19 · field out · pitch · fly_ball · EV 83.1 / LA 62.02026-03-19 · single · pitch · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 10.02026-03-19 · field out · pitch · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -17.02026-03-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 82.2 / LA 11.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 56.02026-03-24 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 17.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 84.6 / LA 26.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · popup · EV 69.2 / LA 65.02026-03-29 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.9 / LA -19.02026-03-29 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 17.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 3.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 49.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 31.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 33.02026-04-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 110.8 / LA -10.02026-04-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -3.02026-04-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 14.02026-04-22 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -9.02026-04-22 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 5.02026-04-24 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 65.2 / LA -8.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 0.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 51.7 / LA 65.02026-04-25 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -8.02026-04-25 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 3.02026-04-25 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 65.6 / LA 30.02026-04-25 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 0.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -30.02026-04-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 15.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -23.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA -3.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 24.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 34.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -12.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 34.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 29.02026-05-04 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA -19.02026-05-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 0.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 78.2 / LA 29.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.3 / LA 85.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 50.02026-05-07 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 26.02026-05-07 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 21.02026-05-08 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 18.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 78.5 / LA 57.02026-05-12 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 10.02026-05-12 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 83.5 / LA 21.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -43.02026-05-13 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 26.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -1.02026-05-14 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 32.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.2 / LA -33.02026-05-14 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -6.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 17.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.8 / LA 52.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 52.02026-05-25 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 49.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.4 / LA 54.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -47.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 44.02026-05-31 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 48.1 / LA -69.02026-05-31 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA -11.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 7.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -12.02026-06-01 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 25.02026-06-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 11.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 25.02026-06-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 70.2 / LA 49.02026-06-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -15.02026-06-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -14.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA 2.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -29.02026-06-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 10.02026-06-07 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 17.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Loftin, Nick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 15%15%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 85%85%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 11"
Weight180 lb
Debut2023-09-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.033
wOBA Δ+0.089

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.373
xwOBA (deserved)0.317

Loftin’s wOBA sits at 0.373, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.056, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 135 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 1 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-2 | 2B, BB, 3 RBI
2026-04-05 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-2 | K
2026-04-04 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, R
2026-04-01 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 1 E0-0 | BB