The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Semien, Marcus in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats R · 564 PA

Ranked comps for Semien, Marcus

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 578 PA 0.76 Barrel rateGround-ball ratePull rate Avg exit velocity +0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.9zSprint speed -0.8z
02 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 411 PA 0.69 Oppo rateWhiff rateChase rate Avg exit velocity +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1zBat speed +1.0z
03 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 637 PA 0.67 Barrel rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.3zSwing length -1.2z
04 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA 0.64 Isolated powerIn-zone contactWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2zChase rate +1.1z
05 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.64 In-zone contactIsolated powerSwing length Chase rate +1.6zBat speed +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1z
06 Loftin, Nick KC · R · 446 PA 0.63 Chase rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0z
07 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.62 Pull rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate +1.5zBat speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.3z
08 Albies, Ozzie ATL · L · 696 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Chase rate +2.0zSwing length -1.4zSprint speed -0.9z
09 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA 0.60 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateIsolated power Oppo rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4zBat speed +1.2z
10 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA 0.59 Sweet-spot rateWalk rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zHard-hit rate +1.0z
11 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.59 Sweet-spot rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.8zPull rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.3z
12 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 619 PA 0.59 Sprint speedBarrel rateIsolated power Max exit velocity +1.6zSwing length -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.