Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Betts, Mookie

On-base driven regular with stable floor

Primary
0.352 xwOBA
Range
0.299 to 0.403
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Balanced regular Age 34 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.360
xwOBA current pace0.332
xwOBA rolling p500.349
Observed weight37%
xwOBA
0.311 0.329 0.349 0.370 0.388
wOBA
0.322 0.348 0.376 0.405 0.431
ISO
0.152 0.173 0.197 0.221 0.243
K%
9.1% 10.5% 12.0% 13.6% 15.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.6%
78
Barrel%7.8%
81 +26 vs proj
Bat speed67.5
24
Exit velocity90.2
75
Hard-hit%36.7%
37
K%11.6%
94
xBA0.307
34
xSLG0.516
50
xwOBA0.332
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength79.6 · SS
11
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
71
Range Runs1.2 · SS
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · SS
28
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.5% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions70.4% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
72
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
80
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Betts, Mookie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3602026-05-19: 0.3602026-05-21: 0.3542026-05-23: 0.3732026-05-24: 0.3512026-05-25: 0.3422026-05-26: 0.3282026-05-28: 0.3262026-05-29: 0.3252026-05-30: 0.3252026-05-31: 0.3202026-06-01: 0.332 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Mookie Betts's tools (79) outpace production (87) by -8 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.

See full optimization →

Launch Angle Too High
-9.2° Current 29° → Target 20°

Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

92 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Betts, Mookie · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 61.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 36.02026-03-15 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 30.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 35.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 26.02026-03-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 12.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 54.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 81.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 50.02026-03-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 17.02026-03-23 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 36.02026-03-24 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 5.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 23.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 32.02026-03-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -4.02026-03-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 10.02026-03-27 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 25.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 22.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -7.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · popup · EV 69.4 / LA 71.02026-03-28 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 49.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 54.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 8.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 13.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 54.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 48.02026-04-01 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 47.02026-04-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.8 / LA 12.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 2.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 21.02026-04-03 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 11.02026-04-03 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 31.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 42.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 37.02026-05-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 0.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 84.6 / LA 22.02026-05-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 13.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 35.02026-05-12 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 1.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.8 / LA 76.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -18.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 47.02026-05-13 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 28.02026-05-13 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 11.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 4.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 22.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -75.02026-05-16 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 87.5 / LA 21.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 17.02026-05-16 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 24.02026-05-18 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -12.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 8.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.5 / LA 67.02026-05-18 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 4.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 18.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 29.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 28.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -7.02026-05-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -1.02026-05-20 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 25.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 36.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 20.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -8.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 41.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 30.02026-05-23 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -23.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 47.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 62.0 / LA -49.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 1.02026-05-24 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -2.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 59.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 24.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 42.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 40.02026-05-25 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 36.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 46.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 26.02026-05-26 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 13.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 39.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 39.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 29.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA -15.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 50.02026-05-31 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 48.4 / LA -51.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 60.0 / LA -48.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Betts, Mookie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 53%53%Chase: 19%19%Whiff: 12%12%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 88%88%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
3
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.020
wOBA Δ+0.024
Sample129 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances635----
Home Runs24----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3520.299 to 0.403+/- 0.052
ISO0.1720.132 to 0.265+/- 0.067
Barrel%5.4%3.8% to 7.9%+/- 2.1%
Hard-Hit%39.4%35.7% to 47.3%+/- 5.8%
K%11.4%9.9% to 18.1%+/- 4.1%
BB%10.0%7.9% to 13.9%+/- 3.0%
BABIP0.2800.251 to 0.327+/- 0.038
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1902 career PA

xwOBA0.320
K%9.5%
BB%9.9%
Barrel5.4%
vs RHP

5340 career PA

xwOBA0.311
K%10.9%
BB%9.8%
Barrel5.0%