Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Betts, Mookie

On-base driven regular with stable floor

Primary
0.352 xwOBA
Range
0.299 to 0.403
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Balanced regular Age 34 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
60
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense4 metrics
81
Speed2 metrics
27
Plate skills10 metrics
64
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.360
xwOBA current pace0.331
xwOBA rolling p500.344
Observed weight56%
xwOBA
0.313 0.328 0.344 0.360 0.374
wOBA
0.320 0.337 0.357 0.376 0.393
ISO
0.152 0.168 0.186 0.204 0.220
K%
9.2% 10.2% 11.4% 12.6% 13.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
77 +23 vs proj
Exit velocity90.6
81
Hard-hit%38.6%
47
xBA0.313
39
xSLG0.495
44
xwOBA0.331
73
BB%9.3%
59
Bat speed67.2
21
K%10.7%
97
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
83
Arm Strength87.7 · SS
61
Outs Above Avg6.0 · SS
93
Range Runs4.2 · SS
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · SS
27
Sprint Speed26.5 · SS
27
SB Success Rate33.3% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.5% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
64
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.375 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
74
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Betts, Mookie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.331 2026-07-05: 0.3382026-07-06: 0.3422026-07-07: 0.3402026-07-08: 0.3392026-07-09: 0.3392026-07-10: 0.3392026-07-11: 0.3392026-07-12: 0.3372026-07-13: 0.3352026-07-14: 0.3312026-07-15: 0.3312026-07-16: 0.331 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

123 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Betts, Mookie · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 61.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 36.02026-03-15 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 30.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 35.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 26.02026-03-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 12.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 54.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 81.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 50.02026-03-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 17.02026-03-23 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 36.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 23.02026-03-24 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 5.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 32.02026-03-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -4.02026-03-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 10.02026-03-27 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 25.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · popup · EV 69.4 / LA 71.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -7.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 22.02026-03-28 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 49.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 54.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 8.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 13.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 54.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 48.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.8 / LA 12.02026-04-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 47.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 42.02026-04-03 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 11.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 21.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 2.02026-04-03 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 31.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 84.6 / LA 22.02026-05-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 13.02026-05-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 0.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 37.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 35.02026-05-12 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 1.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.8 / LA 76.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -18.02026-05-13 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 11.02026-05-13 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 28.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 47.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -75.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 4.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 87.5 / LA 21.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 17.02026-05-16 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 24.02026-05-18 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -12.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 8.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.5 / LA 67.02026-05-18 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 4.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 18.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 28.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -7.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 25.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 36.02026-05-20 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -1.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 20.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -8.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 41.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 30.02026-05-23 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -23.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 47.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 62.0 / LA -49.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 24.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 1.02026-05-24 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -2.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 59.02026-05-25 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 36.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 42.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 46.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 40.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 26.02026-05-26 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 13.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 39.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 39.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 29.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA -15.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 50.02026-05-31 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 48.4 / LA -51.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 60.0 / LA -48.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · popup · EV 82.6 / LA 74.02026-06-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.4 / LA 23.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 30.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -6.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 29.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 36.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 23.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 81.5 / LA 10.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 55.0 / LA 10.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 14.02026-06-15 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 13.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 23.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 56.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 18.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 48.02026-06-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 6.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -32.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -5.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 38.02026-06-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 28.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · popup · EV 74.8 / LA 79.02026-06-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 9.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 11.02026-06-26 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 4.02026-06-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 23.02026-06-26 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 6.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 31.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.9 / LA -5.02026-06-30 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 36.02026-06-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 78.9 / LA 27.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Betts, Mookie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 52%52%Chase: 19%19%Whiff: 12%12%Zone contact: 94%94%Contact: 88%88%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
3
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.020
wOBA Δ+0.005
Sample280 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances635----
Home Runs24----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3520.299 to 0.403+/- 0.052
ISO0.1720.132 to 0.265+/- 0.067
Barrel%5.4%3.8% to 7.9%+/- 2.1%
Hard-Hit%39.4%35.7% to 47.3%+/- 5.8%
K%11.4%9.9% to 18.1%+/- 4.1%
BB%10.0%7.9% to 13.9%+/- 3.0%
BABIP0.2800.251 to 0.327+/- 0.038
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1902 career PA

xwOBA0.320
K%9.5%
BB%9.9%
Barrel5.4%
vs RHP

5340 career PA

xwOBA0.311
K%10.9%
BB%9.8%
Barrel5.0%