The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bellinger, Cody in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 419 PA
Ranked comps for Bellinger, Cody
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA | 0.76 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -0.9zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA | 0.75 | Sweet-spot rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA | 0.73 | Isolated powerBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.4zSwing length -1.1zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 338 PA | 0.72 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactSwing length | Walk rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 307 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateChase rate | Swing length -1.8zWhiff rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ramírez, José CLE · L · 329 PA | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactChase rateSprint speed | Swing length -1.5zHard-hit rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateOppo rateSprint speed | Walk rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Swing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateBat speedPull rate | Swing length -1.6zSprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.65 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSwing length -1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 225 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerOppo ratePull rate | Swing length -1.7zChase rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Barrel rate +1.3zSwing length -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.