The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bellinger, Cody in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 419 PA

Ranked comps for Bellinger, Cody

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.76 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -0.9zChase rate -0.8z
02 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA 0.75 Sweet-spot rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2zPull rate -0.8z
03 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.73 Isolated powerBarrel rateFly-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.4zSwing length -1.1zHard-hit rate +0.9z
04 Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 338 PA 0.72 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Walk rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9z
05 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 307 PA 0.72 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateChase rate Swing length -1.8zWhiff rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.8z
06 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 329 PA 0.69 xwOBA on contactChase rateSprint speed Swing length -1.5zHard-hit rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -0.8z
07 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA 0.69 Whiff rateOppo rateSprint speed Walk rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1zPull rate -0.9z
08 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA 0.69 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Swing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1z
09 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA 0.68 Chase rateBat speedPull rate Swing length -1.6zSprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate -0.8z
10 Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA 0.65 Oppo rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSwing length -1.0zChase rate -0.9z
11 Loftin, Nick KC · R · 225 PA 0.65 Isolated powerOppo ratePull rate Swing length -1.7zChase rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z
12 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate Barrel rate +1.3zSwing length -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.