The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint

No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.

Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Simpson, Chandler in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 632 PA

Ranked comps for Simpson, Chandler

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 400 PA 0.32 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.8zGround-ball rate -1.8zHard-hit rate +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 489 PA 0.30 Max exit velocitySprint speedPull rate Chase rate +2.3zStrikeout rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA 0.30 In-zone contactWalk ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +2.0zSprint speed -1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 463 PA 0.29 Swing lengthMax exit velocityChase rate Hard-hit rate +2.0zSprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 474 PA 0.29 Pull rateSprint speedGround-ball rate Hard-hit rate +2.8zBat speed +1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L · 510 PA 0.26 Sprint speedBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +2.4zStrikeout rate +2.1zWhiff rate +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Isbel, Kyle KC · L · 334 PA 0.22 Sweet-spot rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Hard-hit rate +2.5zStrikeout rate +2.4zGround-ball rate -2.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Hamilton, David MIL · L · 398 PA 0.21 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityOppo rate Strikeout rate +2.4zGround-ball rate -2.2zHard-hit rate +2.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 607 PA 0.21 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Oppo rate -2.3zGround-ball rate -2.1zBat speed +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Straw, Myles TOR · R · 337 PA 0.15 Sprint speedPull rateWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -3.4zFly-ball rate +2.6zSweet-spot rate +2.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 607 PA 0.14 Oppo rateSwing lengthPull rate Sweet-spot rate +3.2zWalk rate +2.5zGround-ball rate -2.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA 0.14 Chase ratePull rateIn-zone contact Bat speed +2.5zStrikeout rate +2.4zGround-ball rate -2.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.