Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Nuñez, Nasim
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
9
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.268 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.284 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.260
0.271
0.284
0.297
0.309
wOBA
0.296
0.311
0.329
0.346
0.362
ISO
0.064
0.078
0.095
0.111
0.126
K%
18.4%
19.9%
21.5%
23.1%
24.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.3%
2
-40 vs proj
Exit velocity81.4
4
Hard-hit%21.2%
3
-29 vs proj
xBA0.299
26
xSLG0.369
6
xwOBA0.268
15
-51 vs proj
BB%11.9%
84
+28 vs proj
Bat speed64.3
4
K%23.2%
45
-25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
74
Arm Strength94.6 · 2B
94
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 2B
91
Range Runs1.4 · 2B
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs5.1 · 2B
100
Bolts39.0 · 2B
93
SB Success Rate92.9% · 2B
84
Sprint Speed29.6 · 2B
97
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.5% · rebadged research
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
67
Correct Decisions69.4% · rebadged research
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.253 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
159 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.055 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.006 |
| Sample | 328 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 260 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.259 to 0.339 | +/- 0.040 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.076 to 0.224 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.7% to 5.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.5% | 27.5% to 43.9% | +/- 8.2% |
| K% | 18.9% | 14.3% to 26.6% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 5.1% to 11.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.240 to 0.354 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
74 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.131 |
| K% | 7.5% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |
vs RHP
123 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 9.2% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |