Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Nuñez, Nasim
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.272 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.275
0.290
0.305
0.318
wOBA
0.260
0.279
0.299
0.320
0.339
ISO
0.057
0.074
0.094
0.113
0.131
K%
16.5%
18.2%
20.1%
21.9%
23.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.6%
85
+33 vs proj
Barrel%0.0%
1
-40 vs proj
Bat speed63.8
4
Exit velocity81.3
4
Hard-hit%20.3%
3
-26 vs proj
K%21.2%
55
xBA0.294
25
xSLG0.356
6
xwOBA0.272
17
-44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
81
Arm Strength94.6 · 2B
95
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
88
Range Runs0.6 · 2B
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.3 · 2B
100
Bolts27.0 · 2B
93
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
93
Sprint Speed29.6 · 2B
96
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.8% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions69.1% · rebadged research
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
47
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.256 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.248 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
142 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.051 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| Sample | 222 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 260 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.259 to 0.339 | +/- 0.040 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.076 to 0.224 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.7% to 5.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.5% | 27.5% to 43.9% | +/- 8.2% |
| K% | 18.9% | 14.3% to 26.6% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 5.1% to 11.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.240 to 0.354 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
74 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.131 |
| K% | 7.5% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |
vs RHP
123 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 9.2% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |