Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase risk
Goodman, Hunter
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.309 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.321 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Hunter Goodman's tools (65) outpace production (62) by 3 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.
Field-coordinate spray profile
240 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.062 |
| Sample | 590 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 523 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 27 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.321 | 0.273 to 0.354 | +/- 0.040 |
| ISO | 0.207 | 0.172 to 0.305 | +/- 0.066 |
| Barrel% | 7.8% | 5.6% to 10.1% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 46.3% | 39.6% to 51.3% | +/- 5.9% |
| K% | 23.6% | 19.2% to 30.0% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 3.8% to 8.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.250 to 0.356 | +/- 0.053 |
252 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.257 |
| K% | 20.0% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 7.8% |
663 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.239 |
| K% | 20.4% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |