The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Moniak, Mickey in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 242 PA

Ranked comps for Moniak, Mickey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zOppo rate +1.6zChase rate -1.2z
02 Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA 0.52 Whiff rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.8zIsolated power -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4z
03 Buxton, Byron MIN · R · 345 PA 0.50 Bat speedWhiff rateIn-zone contact Barrel rate +2.0zChase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.3z
04 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.50 Strikeout rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate Swing length -1.9zChase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.3z
05 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.50 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate Oppo rate +1.6zPull rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2z
06 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 203 PA 0.49 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate Pull rate -2.0zIsolated power -1.9zOppo rate +1.5z
07 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 440 PA 0.48 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Swing length -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zOppo rate +1.6z
08 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA 0.46 Avg exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate Max exit velocity +1.9zChase rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.2z
09 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.43 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBarrel rate Isolated power -1.9zChase rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.7z
10 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA 0.43 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactWalk rate Oppo rate +2.1zChase rate -1.8zSwing length -1.7z
11 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA 0.41 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Max exit velocity +1.9zWalk rate +1.9zChase rate -1.2z
12 Massey, Michael KC · L · 246 PA 0.39 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateOppo rate Isolated power -2.1zSwing length -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.7z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.