Mithrandir Metrics
Player BAL Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / BAL

Leody Taveras

Player profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club BAL Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
28
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
35
Defense4 metrics
44
Speed4 metrics
67
Plate skills10 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-16
xwOBA preseason0.294
xwOBA current pace0.304
xwOBA rolling p500.299
Observed weight51%
xwOBA
0.268 0.283 0.299 0.316 0.330
wOBA
0.317 0.336 0.357 0.378 0.397
ISO
0.095 0.111 0.129 0.146 0.162
K%
19.2% 20.9% 22.8% 24.7% 26.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
27 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity82.9
6
Hard-hit%29.9%
14 -31 vs proj
xBA0.318
44
xSLG0.456
31
xwOBA0.304
44
BB%10.4%
68 +39 vs proj
Bat speed68.6
37
K%22.5%
47
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · CF
70
Arm Strength98.2 · CF
91
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · CF
4
Range Runs-2.7 · CF
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · CF
79
Bolts14.0 · CF
78
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
20
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
91
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-06-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.1% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
75
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389 · validated
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
76
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Taveras, Leody · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.304 2026-06-05: 0.3132026-06-06: 0.3142026-06-07: 0.3142026-06-08: 0.3072026-06-09: 0.3072026-06-10: 0.3122026-06-11: 0.3102026-06-12: 0.3132026-06-13: 0.3102026-06-14: 0.3102026-06-15: 0.3052026-06-16: 0.304 2026-06-05 2026-06-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

120 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Taveras, Leody · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 5% of plotted batted ballsPull 5%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 23% of plotted batted ballsOppo 23% LF 333 CF 400 RF 318 2026-03-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.5 / LA 0.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -40.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 21.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 31.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -24.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -12.02026-03-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 31.02026-04-01 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 11.02026-04-01 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 24.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 21.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 11.02026-04-05 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA -8.02026-04-07 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 17.8 / LA 44.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 19.02026-04-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 77.8 / LA 20.02026-04-10 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -9.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 24.02026-04-11 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -45.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 38.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.6 / LA -13.02026-04-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 82.1 / LA 15.02026-04-12 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 32.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 62.02026-04-13 · single · FS · fly_ball · EV 64.3 / LA 45.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 25.02026-04-14 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 18.02026-04-14 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 10.02026-04-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 56.3 / LA -5.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -13.02026-04-16 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA -8.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 40.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 34.02026-04-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.8 / LA -54.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA -3.02026-04-18 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 29.02026-04-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 88.4 / LA 22.02026-04-20 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 29.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.1 / LA 59.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · popup · EV 64.6 / LA 55.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 93.2 / LA 15.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 93.5 / LA 17.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · popup · EV 73.1 / LA 62.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 63.5 / LA 15.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 34.02026-04-22 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 64.7 / LA 30.02026-04-22 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 13.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 85.9 / LA 24.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 26.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.2 / LA -13.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -14.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 70.7 / LA 53.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 40.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 24.02026-04-30 · triple · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 5.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.1 / LA 66.02026-05-01 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 38.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 43.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA -6.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.0 / LA 65.02026-05-03 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -6.02026-05-04 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 3.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 25.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -2.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.9 / LA 16.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.7 / LA 70.02026-05-06 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.5 / LA 9.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -58.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.0 / LA 70.02026-05-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -4.02026-05-09 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -2.02026-05-09 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 37.2 / LA -62.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 51.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -12.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 54.02026-05-10 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 75.5 / LA 25.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -1.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -27.02026-05-13 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -21.02026-05-13 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -4.02026-05-13 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.8 / LA -3.02026-05-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -28.02026-05-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA -1.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 37.02026-05-17 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 3.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.8 / LA 70.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -22.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA -19.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 11.02026-05-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 23.4 / LA -23.02026-05-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.1 / LA 16.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 87.8 / LA 26.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA 5.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -9.02026-05-25 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 31.2 / LA -13.02026-05-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 23.4 / LA -22.02026-05-25 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 13.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 24.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 4.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 33.1 / LA -49.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 16.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -9.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · popup · EV 72.4 / LA 65.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 52.02026-05-27 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 67.1 / LA 31.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 75.02026-05-31 · sac bunt · CU · ground_ball · EV 35.1 / LA -69.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.5 / LA 64.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -3.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 70.7 / LA 35.02026-06-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA -29.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 2.02026-06-05 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.7 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.6 / LA -62.02026-06-05 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 77.4 / LA 13.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Taveras, Leody · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 23%23%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 77%77%Hard hit: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.010
wOBA Δ+0.063

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.357
xwOBA (deserved)0.304

Taveras’s wOBA sits at 0.357, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.304 — a gap of 0.053, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 231 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-14Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ KC1 HR | 4 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-5 | HR, K, 4 RBI
2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, R, SB
2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2 | RBI
2026-04-14 vs AZ0 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, 2 RBI
2026-04-13 vs AZ0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K, RBI