The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McLain, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 510 PA

Ranked comps for McLain, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA 0.84 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateWalk rate Swing length +1.1zPull rate +0.8zFly-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 387 PA 0.79 Bat speedHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate -0.7zOppo rate -0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 658 PA 0.67 Sprint speedOppo ratePull rate Fly-ball rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA 0.66 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zWalk rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA 0.62 Oppo rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Barrel rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 487 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateBat speedOppo rate Avg exit velocity +1.7zSwing length +1.3zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 726 PA 0.62 Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity Sprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.2zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate Walk rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 357 PA 0.59 Isolated powerHard-hit ratePull rate In-zone contact -2.0zChase rate +1.6zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.58 Avg exit velocityPull rateMax exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 358 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocitySwing lengthPull rate Strikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.57 Pull rateMax exit velocityWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.