The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abreu, Wilyer in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 428 PA

Ranked comps for Abreu, Wilyer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 408 PA 0.71 Sweet-spot rateChase rateGround-ball rate Max exit velocity +1.5zFly-ball rate -0.9zWhiff rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 375 PA 0.67 Walk rateIn-zone contactSwing length Barrel rate -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.65 In-zone contactOppo rateGround-ball rate Barrel rate -1.2zBat speed -1.0zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 352 PA 0.65 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.5zChase rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 413 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityChase rate Whiff rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 434 PA 0.64 Oppo rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.9zBat speed -1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 395 PA 0.63 Sprint speedPull rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Greene, Riley DET · L · 431 PA 0.62 Sweet-spot rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Sprint speed -1.2zOppo rate -1.0zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 306 PA 0.61 Max exit velocityWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 424 PA 0.58 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Pull rate +1.6zSwing length +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 436 PA 0.58 Sprint speedIsolated powerWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zBarrel rate -1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 216 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zBarrel rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.