The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caissie, Owen in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats L · 342 PA

Ranked comps for Caissie, Owen

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA 0.60 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.4zSwing length +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 711 PA 0.55 Swing lengthOppo rateIsolated power Pull rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 506 PA 0.54 Oppo rateFly-ball rateChase rate Swing length +1.7zSprint speed -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA 0.52 Swing lengthWhiff rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zPull rate +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 678 PA 0.51 Max exit velocityIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Strikeout rate -2.2zWhiff rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA 0.50 Max exit velocitySprint speedAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.4zSwing length +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.50 Avg exit velocityPull rateChase rate Strikeout rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.8zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 628 PA 0.49 Barrel rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.7zSwing length +1.6zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 487 PA 0.48 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate In-zone contact +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.47 Hard-hit ratePull rateBarrel rate Strikeout rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.9zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 357 PA 0.47 Sprint speedPull rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.