The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carrigg, Cole in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 371 PA
Ranked comps for Carrigg, Cole
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA | 0.77 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityBat speed | Whiff rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA | 0.76 | Strikeout ratePull rateBat speed | Barrel rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.73 | Pull rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.72 | Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power | Swing length +1.8zGround-ball rate -0.7zWhiff rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactBat speed | Sprint speed -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 623 PA | 0.69 | Bat speedFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Barrel rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityWhiff rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.2zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA | 0.69 | Hard-hit rateWalk rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA | 0.68 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.4zPull rate -0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 578 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit ratePull rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Chase rate -1.6zBarrel rate +1.5zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Max exit velocity +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.