Mithrandir Metrics
PIT National League Central Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

Pittsburgh Pirates

80.2-81.8 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.2-81.8
Live pace
83.5
Delta
+3.3
Record 50-47 Run diff 44 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace83.5
Rolling p5082.2
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
72.1 76.9 82.2 87.4 92.2
MOVE +2.2 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.40
October path

Projection odds

Division15.5%
Playoffs29.3%
Pennant2.8%
World Series1.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP4.07
Bullpen FIP4.40
Run diff-12.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDavis, Henry362-0.57
1BNone202-0.28
2BLowe, Brandon5334.63
SSTriolo, Jared445-0.20
3BGonzales, Nick454-0.39
LFReynolds, Bryan6064.40
CFMangum, Jake419-0.82
RFO'Hearn, Ryan5394.41
DHOzuna, Marcell5779.62