Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.79 |
| ERA current pace | 2.84 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.31 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 52.0% | 353 | 110 | qualified |
| CH | 34.3% | 233 | 107 | qualified |
| FC | 13.7% | 93 | 95 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.11 |
| K% Δ | +0.024 |
| Sample | 61.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 44.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 184 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.8% | 19.2% to 34.9% | +/- 7.9% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 5.0% to 11.9% | +/- 3.4% |
| Whiff% | 26.1% | 21.3% to 31.7% | +/- 5.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.30 | 0.62 to 2.29 | +/- 0.84 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.304 | 0.262 to 0.362 | +/- 0.050 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.1% | 5.0% to 12.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| ERA | 3.95 | 2.39 to 6.69 | +/- 2.15 |
| FIP | 4.03 | 2.76 to 5.45 | +/- 1.34 |
| WHIP | 1.229 | 0.981 to 1.611 | +/- 0.315 |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 24.6% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 24.7% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 9.3% |
