Mithrandir Metrics
PHI National League East Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Philadelphia Phillies

87.7-74.3 with P10-P90 wins 78-98. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
87.7-74.3
Live pace
89.3
Delta
+1.5
Record 54-44 Run diff -13 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason88.0
Current pace89.3
Rolling p5088.8
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
78.4 83.3 88.8 94.2 99.2
MOVE +0.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.39
October path

Projection odds

Division23.0%
Playoffs66.8%
Pennant11.1%
World Series5.6%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.274
Rotation FIP4.05
Bullpen FIP4.39
Run diff63.4
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRealmuto, J.t.5362.22
1BHarper, Bryce5747.65
2BStott, Bryson5620.12
SSTurner, Trea6011.56
3BBohm, Alec5342.83
LFMarsh, Brandon4832.56
CFNone201-0.42
RFHill, Derek305-0.71
DHSchwarber, Kyle65813.07