Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.12 |
| ERA current pace | 1.48 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 2.16 |
| Observed weight | 59% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 43.3% | 499 | 107 | qualified |
| CH | 37.8% | 436 | 102 | qualified |
| SL | 18.9% | 218 | 103 | qualified |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.76 |
| K% Δ | +0.057 |
| Sample | 83.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 146.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 601 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.5% | 19.0% to 29.5% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 5.6% | 4.0% to 7.8% | +/- 1.9% |
| Whiff% | 25.5% | 22.2% to 29.5% | +/- 3.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.08 | 0.46 to 1.61 | +/- 0.58 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.297 | 0.245 to 0.332 | +/- 0.044 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.1% | 4.8% to 10.1% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 3.24 | 2.00 to 4.90 | +/- 1.45 |
| FIP | 3.28 | 2.22 to 3.65 | +/- 0.72 |
| WHIP | 1.142 | 1.003 to 1.447 | +/- 0.222 |
| xwOBA | 0.246 |
| K% | 23.7% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 21.7% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |
