Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.38 |
| ERA current pace | 4.97 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.22 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 46.5% | 280 | 109 | qualified |
| FB | 32.2% | 194 | 103 | limited sample |
| SI | 21.3% | 128 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.05 |
| K% Δ | -0.017 |
| Sample | 58.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 166 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.2% | 19.5% to 35.8% | +/- 8.2% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 4.9% to 12.8% | +/- 3.9% |
| Whiff% | 23.9% | 19.1% to 31.0% | +/- 6.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.16 | 0.43 to 1.77 | +/- 0.67 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.313 | 0.231 to 0.338 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.2% | 4.1% to 11.1% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.92 | 1.18 to 5.47 | +/- 2.14 |
| FIP | 3.54 | 1.85 to 4.44 | +/- 1.30 |
| WHIP | 1.307 | 1.010 to 1.687 | +/- 0.338 |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 25.3% |
| BB% | 9.5% |
| Barrel | 6.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.275 |
| K% | 25.2% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
