Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Whitcomb, Shay
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.269 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.211 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.262 |
| Observed weight | 12% |
xwOBA
0.202
0.231
0.262
0.294
0.322
wOBA
0.403
0.458
0.519
0.581
0.636
ISO
0.038
0.076
0.119
0.162
0.200
K%
16.6%
20.7%
25.4%
30.0%
34.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
61
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.5 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.8% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.9% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
51
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
64
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 224 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.162 to 0.296 | +/- 0.067 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.048 to 0.231 | +/- 0.091 |
| Barrel% | 4.0% | 0.7% to 6.2% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.3% | 15.6% to 43.7% | +/- 14.1% |
| K% | 26.5% | 13.5% to 33.2% | +/- 9.9% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 1.6% to 10.2% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.172 to 0.335 | +/- 0.082 |
vs LHP
29 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.076 |
| K% | 6.1% |
| BB% | 2.1% |
| Barrel | 1.3% |
vs RHP
71 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.072 |
| K% | 7.0% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.3% |