Rangel, Alan
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.22 |
| ERA current pace | 3.00 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.16 |
| Observed weight | 5% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 38.6% | 17 | 103 | limited sample |
| CH | 31.8% | 14 | 106 | limited sample |
| CB | 18.2% | 8 | 100 | limited sample |
| SL | 11.4% | 5 | 99 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 31.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 134 | -- | -- |
| K% | 20.9% | 10.3% to 27.3% | +/- 8.5% |
| BB% | 10.2% | 5.4% to 14.1% | +/- 4.4% |
| Whiff% | 20.4% | 10.2% to 24.9% | +/- 7.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.33 | 0.24 to 1.76 | +/- 0.76 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.317 | 0.215 to 0.372 | +/- 0.079 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.1% | 4.3% to 14.3% | +/- 5.0% |
| ERA | 4.68 | 0.21 to 5.87 | +/- 2.83 |
| FIP | 4.11 | 2.59 to 5.98 | +/- 1.70 |
| WHIP | 1.471 | 0.787 to 1.736 | +/- 0.474 |
25 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.206 |
| K% | 10.1% |
| BB% | 8.1% |
| Barrel | 8.6% |
25 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.198 |
| K% | 10.8% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 8.2% |