Mithrandir Metrics
COL National League West Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

Colorado Rockies

69.5-92.5 with P10-P90 wins 60-79. 82.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
69.5-92.5
Live pace
64.5
Delta
-5.0
Record 39-59 Run diff -89 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason69.0
Current pace64.5
Rolling p5066.2
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
57.2 61.5 66.2 70.9 75.2
MOVE -2.8 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.56
October path

Projection odds

Division0.5%
Playoffs2.8%
Pennant0.2%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.255
Rotation FIP4.57
Bullpen FIP4.56
Run diff-104.1
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CGoodman, Hunter5232.40
1BNone2070.35
2BCastro, Willi4992.48
SSTovar, Ezequiel479-0.95
3BKarros, Kyle283-1.66
LFMoniak, Mickey4852.72
CFDoyle, Brenton546-0.33
RFFreeman, Tyler4671.64
DHMcCarthy, Jake3730.25