Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.04 |
| ERA current pace | 6.30 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.89 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 36.2% | 118 | 101 | limited sample |
| FB | 23.3% | 76 | 103 | limited sample |
| SI | 16.0% | 52 | 100 | limited sample |
| CH | 16.0% | 52 | 96 | limited sample |
| CB | 8.6% | 28 | 106 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.90 |
| K% Δ | -0.045 |
| Sample | 33.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 70.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 309 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.2% | 16.5% to 28.6% | +/- 6.1% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 5.4% to 11.0% | +/- 2.8% |
| Whiff% | 22.8% | 19.6% to 28.5% | +/- 4.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.42 | 0.82 to 2.04 | +/- 0.61 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.271 to 0.356 | +/- 0.042 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.1% | 4.3% to 9.3% | +/- 2.5% |
| ERA | 4.40 | 2.65 to 6.19 | +/- 1.77 |
| FIP | 4.14 | 3.19 to 5.13 | +/- 0.97 |
| WHIP | 1.372 | 1.116 to 1.689 | +/- 0.287 |
| xwOBA | 0.313 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 8.9% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.289 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
